HOW TO TRADE WITH ALL TIME HIGH MARKETS/SHARES? (ELEMENTS TO WATCH
THROUGH ANALYTICAL TOOLS)
Who got only Predictions & Emotions may keeps people in front line whether to Gain or Lose. Who have Analytical Capabilities gives Better Projections & Planning gives more Gaining Chances. However, in Stock Market 100% may not possible, because Diversified Mob and Different Factors drive it.
We common Investors
and Traders, many times feel that we lost some money by not participating
or not continuing our buying, particularly when market is going up and up /
continuously growing. But few people who are holding stocks feel to
sell and some people try to wait and see with some more hope. To our
surprise many might not have questioned themselves whether it is right or
not? Because the emotional attachment, many might have not
evaluated the Market or Stocks. Whenever this kind of situation,
arises we have to get the answers to the following: which weight in Two
categories ie. 1, Fundamentally 2. Technically.
1. It the Market/Stock
is Fairly Valued? or Bubbled? : Fair value means we have to check its EPS &
PE, Comparative value to its peers, QOQ and YOY performance, Capitalisation
against BV. etc.
Same time we have to
check about its volumes, whether it is overbought, any volume breakout, short cover
ages, arbitrage trading, price support and resistance levels etc.
2. Demand change
should be watched; is it because of enhanced valuations due to
re-writing, re-rating, re-organisation, re-structuring through amalgamation or
bifurcation, demand vs supply, buy back options etc.
3. Is price
rise is New Driven? If so is it genuine? Is the Promoters announced is without
any motives? Is it by punters and operators? Is is by News makers and
gossipers? Is it because of panic? Is it because of impulsive? Is it with
Influence? Is it with higher expectations? etc.
4. We have to
observe about Global Economical and Political conditions and influence along
with our Mother Land, Govt. regulations, priorities etc.
ELEMENTS TO
WATCH THROUGH ANALYTICAL TOOLS:
Fair value EPS &
PE should be measured against: inflation % + GDP % and through corporation's
financial statements.
Preference should be
checked with: Peer Products or Markets
Over bought should
be measure: against its PCR, Volumes Indicator and Cash Flow
Indicators and by tracking average volumes.
Resistance Levels :
should be drawn with Fibonacci Indicators and other Projection Indicators
News to be verify:
through Exchanges and Respective Corporate Web sites.
Economy and Other
News: We have to rely on reliable media or we have to subscribe news providers.
Who got only Predictions & Emotions may keeps people in front line whether to Gain or Lose. Who have Analytical Capabilities gives Better Projections & Planning gives more Gaining Chances. However, in Stock Market 100% may not possible, because Diversified Mob and Different Factors drive it.
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